Tesco, M&S and Sainsbury's shares drop amid FTSE 100 rally after 'trolley wars' warning

Tesco and Sainsbury's logos

The UK's leading publicly traded supermarkets failed to enjoy a post-crisis FTSE 100 surge this morning, as Tesco's annual results ignited concerns of escalating 'trolley wars' within the industry.

The FTSE 100 index climbed over six per cent as investors exhaled in relief following the suspension of Trump's 'reciprocal' tariffs last night, as reported by City AM.

However, shares in Tesco, Marks and Spencer, and Sainsbury's dropped by seven per cent, three per cent, and five per cent respectively.

This sell-off was triggered by Tesco's annual financial report. The country's largest supermarket cautioned that its profit would be impacted by "a further increase in the competitive intensity of the UK market".

The retail giant anticipates group adjusted operating profit to range between £2.7bn and £3bn next year, a decrease from £3.13bn for the 2024/25 fiscal year.

Edison Group analyst Russell Pointon commented on the situation: "The seven‐month stock low [in Tesco's share price], driven by aggressive pricing tactics from rivals like Asda and Aldi, reveals market nervousness amid ongoing pressures,".

Earlier this year, Asda's new chief Allan Leighton spoke of the 'war chest' at Asda's disposal to slash prices and reclaim its competitive edge in the market.

This sparked rumours that Asda is set to disrupt the market with a series of price reductions.

"Tesco and Sainsbury's have certainly been major beneficiaries of market share from Asda over the last couple of years... While Tesco has the greater overlaps with Asda given its national presence, we think any pain from a resurgent Asda will be shared across the industry," stated analysts at Jeffries.

However, there is scepticism among analysts about Asda's capacity to deliver on the scale of cuts it has pledged.

"Much of the industry's dynamics will be determined by Asda's ability to improve volume growth over the next three to six months. Google Trends and Kantar data show limited evidence of this to date."

"Until [evidence of volume growth] arrives, we expect sector valuations to remain pressured," added the Jeffries analysts.

Aarin Chiekrie, an equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, commented: "Fears of a price war that could squeeze profitability have weighed on sentiment across the sector recently, but it hasn't materialised yet."

John Lewis scraps staff bonus for third year in a row despite tripling profit

Despite nearly tripling its profit, the John Lewis Partnership has decided to forgo its staff bonus for the third consecutive year. The company, which owns both John Lewis and Waitrose, informed markets that its pre-tax profit surged from £42m to £126m over the 52 weeks to 25 January, as reported by City AM. Total sales increased by three per cent year on year, rising from £12.4bn to £12.8bn, while the firm's operating profit margin improved by 0.9 percentage points to two per cent. John Lewis revealed plans to "step up" its transformation plan this year, supported by a self-funded investment of £600m. This will encompass "store refurbishments and openings, technology upgrades, and supply chain modernisation." The company also intends to invest £114m in staff pay. These two investments mean its annual bonus will be scrapped this year-for the third year in a row. At Waitrose, sales grew 4.4 per cent to £8bn and volumes were up 2.6 per cent. Adjusted operating profit was £227m, up £122m year on year. Sales at John Lewis remained flat at £4.8bn, while adjusted operating profit was £45m. "These are solid results... we have made good progress," Chair of JLP Jason Tarry said. "Looking forward, I see significant opportunity for growth from both our Waitrose and John Lewis brands." Chairman designate Jason Tarry stated: "Our focus will be on enhancing what makes these brands truly special for our customers. This will involve considerable catch-up investment in our stores and supply chain, underpinned by a strong focus on the core elements of great retail, delivered by our brilliant Partners." "I am confident with the transformation momentum in the Partnership, we remain well placed to drive further growth in the year ahead and over the longer term," he continued. Chief Executive Nish Kankiwala, who is set to leave this year after a two-year tenure, commented, "both brands are showing momentum." Kankiwala also stated, "Tripling our profit is a significant testament to the progress of our transformation – focused on delighting customers while continuing to deliver efficiency improvements, thereby laying the foundations for long-term sustainable growth." Julie Palmer, partner at Begbies Traynor, called the results "encouraging." "However, there remains a long road ahead if the retailer is to win back the market share it lost to M&S and other rivals in the battle for Middle England's consumers," she added. "New Chair Jason Tarry is certainly sounding the right notes. The opening of new Waitrose stores, the reintroduction of John Lewis' 'Never Knowingly Undersold' guarantee, and an inflation-beating £114m investment into staff pay, should all bode well for the partnership.

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Takeaway owner says next month will be 'Armageddon' as NI and rates increase

The owner of a new sandwich shop in Birmingham says next month could be 'Armageddon' for the food and drink sector thanks to the imminent national insurance hike and rising rates. From April 1, national insurance contributions (NIC) will increase from 13.8% to 15%, affecting businesses with employees earning over £5,000. Additionally, the Retail, Hospitality and Leisure Business Rates Relief scheme is set to reduce business rate discounts from 75 to 40 percent. In anticipation of these changes, Harrington's Gourmet Sandwiches, has revised their menu prices. Owner David Dindol told Birmingham Live : "I'm very scared, April 1 is going to be Armageddon." He also mentioned that wage increases at sister venue Missing Bar would necessitate price hikes, a move expected by many businesses in the hospitality sector. Mr Dindol added: "We're hiring more part-time staff and the rate relief scheme has been a big hit on us as well." Concerns extend beyond Harrington's, with social media indicating that several pubs may close their kitchens due to the financial strain. Mr Dindol warned against entering the hospitality industry, saying: "Hospitality is a minefield and if someone said to me they wanted to own a pub, I'd say don't." The Labour decision has also drawn criticism from two Birmingham landlords outside of Harrington's. Gary McDonnell of Hennessey's sharply criticised the policy, claiming it will "kill pubs". Meanwhile, Nigel Barker of The Wellington confirmed that the pub would be raising its prices, describing the move as "a really poor decision from the Labour government."

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Yeo Valley snaps up gourmet yoghurt maker The Collective

Somerset dairy company Yeo Valley has acquired fellow yoghurt producer The Collective for an undisclosed sum. The Blagdon-based business has struck a deal to take over Epicurean Dairy (UK) Ltd in the UK. The Collective was first established in New Zealand by chefs Angus Allan and Ofer Shenhav, and within 10 months was the country's best-selling selling gourmet yoghurt. The business launched in Britain in 2011 after the pair teamed up with the late Mike Hodgson, former managing director of pudding company GU, and its sales director Amelia Harvey. The Collective makes a range of products including its popular 'Suckies' pouches for children and Greek-style pots with a layer of compote for adults. These will join Yeo Valley's portfolio which includes milk, kefir, butter and yogurt and ice-cream. Rob Sexton, chief executive at Yeo Valley Production, said: "We are delighted to welcome The Collective to the Yeo Valley Production family. The Collective brand is renowned for never compromising on the quality and market-leading taste of its products. Add this to the values of the business, encapsulated in its B-Corp accreditation, and we see this as a perfect fit with Yeo Valley Production. "This agreement will ensure The Collective brand continues to deliver taste-led innovation and great value. Together, we have ambitious plans to drive growth of delicious British dairy. It’s an exciting new chapter for us all." Sarah Smart, chief executive at The Collective UK, said Yeo Valley Production was a "long-time partner" of The Collective and had been "integral" to the brand's growth journey. "The close alignment of the businesses values and visions to deliver natural, healthy, great tasting and sustainable food that is better for people and planet, makes Yeo Valley the perfect home for the next stage of The Collective's growth," she added. “I look forward to The Collective building on this success further and continuing to deliver more great tasting innovative dairy to British fridges.” Law firm Thomson Snell & Passmore advised Epicurean Dairy Holdings on the sale.

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Fenwick says it has 'no plans for store closures' as it calls in restructuring experts

Department store retailer Fenwick has confirmed that it has no intentions of closing stores, despite restructuring experts assisting the business. The Newcastle-based firm has experienced losses in recent years and is currently changing the hosting of its website as part of cost-cutting measures. Consultancy firm AlixPartners is working with the chain, which now has eight stores across the country. Fenwick has been operating at a loss since 2019 and sold its Bond Street, London store in a £430m deal in 2022. Last year, management acknowledged that trading had been difficult due to the cost-of-living crisis - fuelled by inflation and high mortgage costs - and shifts in the retail market. Accounts for Fenwick Limited, covering the year up to January 2024, reveal the business reduced its pre-tax losses from £71.1m to £38.1m. At the same time, operating losses before exceptional items - encompassing property sales - decreased from £46.6m to £45.2m. Company executives have talked of their attempts to attract both new and existing patrons to the chain's sophisticated, multi-brand offerings throughout the UK. They have discussed strategies aimed at enhancing efficiency in their shops and supply chain, as well as returning to profit through a commitment to what they referred to as "retail basics" and protecting product margins, reports Chronicle Live. Following the closure and sale of its Bond Street location, Fenwick operates its flagship establishment in Newcastle, along with other sites in Kingston, Brent Cross, Colchester, Canterbury, Tunbridge Wells, Bracknell, and York. The business has focused on distinguishing itself from its competitors by investing in customer service and hospitality experiences. In Newcastle, Fenwick’s "masterplan" has led to collaborations with North East staples such as Greggs and Barbour, plus Michelin-starred eatery Hyem, and the Mother Mercy cocktail bar. The business has also expanded its private-label merchandise dubbed Fenwick at Home products, alongside its own restaurant ventures Fuego and Mason and Rye. Last year, in Newcastle, it opened what it claims is the UK’s largest beauty hall outside London last year. Notably, Fenwick was criticised for its delayed response to the surge in online retail, initiating its web presence as late as 2019. Despite predictions for greater growth online, the company maintains that its brick-and-mortar outlets will continue to reign supreme in sales for the foreseeable future. After an unsuccessful attempt to bring former Harrods senior executive Nigel Blow on board last year, the reins of Fenwick have been taken up by family members Mia Fenwick, serving as executive deputy chairman, and Hugo Fenwick, in the role of retail managing director. It is believed that under their stewardship, the company has witnessed its most favourable six-month trading period in the past five years.

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Just Eat launches first drone deliveries in UK and it could change takeaways forever

Just Eat Takeaway has initiated its first drone-operated food deliveries, marking the beginning of a significant rollout in collaboration with Manna Drone Delivery. The initial location for the rollout will be Dublin. Customers ordering from participating restaurants can now choose drone delivery and receive their meals in as little as three minutes, as reported by City AM. The service is designed to enhance efficiency and reduce delivery times during peak hours and is anticipated to expand across the food delivery giant's international markets. Manna's drone network currently operates under European Union aviation safety agency (EASA) regulations, and the company is actively collaborating with local authorities to extend the service to more countries. Jessica Hall, chief product officer at Just Eat, expressed: "We're very excited to be working with Manna to offer an alternative form of delivery, ensuring customers receive what they want, when they want it." She added: "This partnership is the latest in our commitment to testing innovative solutions that enhance convenience and improve user experience". Bobby Healy, Manna's CEO, described the partnership as a "major milestone for drone delivery in Europe", adding that "by combining Manna's expertise in scalable drone operations with Just Eat Takeaway.com's vast customer base and logistics network, we're setting the standard for sustainable, convenient and safe food delivery." This crucial drone initiative forms part of Just Eat's wider push for innovation.

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Asos shares plunge as investors 'lose confidence' in retailer's turnaround plan

Asos shares have plummeted over 8% in early trading, exacerbating losses accumulated over several months as investors' faith in the retailer's recovery strategy has dwindled. The e-commerce company's share price has fallen by a third in the past month and has halved since the start of the year, with a 15% decline in the last five days alone, as reported by City AM. Currently, Asos shares are trading at 233p per share, a significant drop from the mid-pandemic high of 5,772p per share in April 2021. Analysts attribute this decline to a post-pandemic downturn in the e-commerce sector, which has also impacted fellow retailers boohoo and Pretty Little Thing. "The COVID boom sparked overinvestments across staff, stock and infrastructure that are still being unwound," noted Jeffries analysts Andrew Wade and Grace Gilberg. "That unwind has been in part funded by reclaiming value from customers [via] range, delivery and proposition). The external data... suggests that these changes, coupled with competition, continue to impact demand," they added. Asos reported an operating loss of £331.9m for the year ending September 1, 2024, up £83.4m from a loss of £248.5m in 2023. AJ Bell analyst Dan Coatsworth observed that Asos, like JD Sports, has been affected by a broader slowdown in consumer demand, further contributing to its struggles. "Consumers bored at home during the pandemic merrily spent money but they have since taken their foot off the pedal as it looked like interest rates would stay higher for longer," Coatsworth observed. Earlier this year, analysts from Panmure Liberum suggested that Asos "will struggle to turn around its declining sales trend this year... in the current demand environment." At the beginning of the year, Panmure warned investors about Asos, labelling it their least-preferred stock for 2025. "Multiple inventory write-offs, a refinancing, an equity raise, and sale of a key asset later, Asos is seeing few signs of sales declines relenting and still finds itself on an unsure path," stated Panmure analyst Anubhav Malhotra. He also noted that "Its competitive position worldwide has been eroded due to improved multi-brand online propositions from the likes of NEXT, M&S [and] JD Sports, competition from China, and pulling back on the consumer offering in international markets." "It appears the identity of the Asos brand isn't as pronounced and distinct as was previously perceived."

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Bristol's high street businesses join calls for government to rethink business rates proposals

Bristol retailers are among thousands of high street businesses urging the government to reconsider plans to raise business rates for the largest properties. High Streets UK, a partnership of more than 5,000 businesses across the country, said the move would place a "disproportionate burden" on flagship stores. Under plans, properties with a rateable value of more than £500,000 could be subject to a business rates multiplier up to 10p higher than the current levy. The idea is it will pay for a rates reduction on small high street businesses. The group said the upcoming 2026 revaluation added "further uncertainty" and would deincentivise near-term investment. The group has called on Sir Keir Starmer's government to conduct a full impact assessment of proposed multiplier increases and freezing any hike in the higher multiplier until 2027/28 to provide greater certainty. Vicky Lee, director of Bristol City Centre BID on behalf of Visit West Bristol BIDs, said while business rates reform was necessary, it needed to "support, rather than hinder" the future of flagship high streets. "Bristol’s high street businesses are a crucial part of our city’s economy, driving jobs, tourism and investment," she said. "We urge the Government to take a balanced approach, ensuring that rates remain competitive and that businesses have the certainty they need to plan ahead. "A thriving high street benefits not just retailers, but the entire city, from independent businesses to local communities." Dee Corsi, chair of High Streets UK, added: “Flagship high streets are the economic and social anchors of our cities – they create jobs, drive local and national growth, and serve as vital hubs for communities. "Moreover, within a high street ecosystem, it is often the larger retail, leisure and hospitality units which drive footfall and spend in smaller neighbouring businesses. If you put these larger stores at risk, the impact will be felt across the entire high street. “As a collective voice for these high streets, High Streets UK is calling on the Government to take urgent action to safeguard their future, ensuring our city centres remain dynamic, competitive, and resilient.”

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Shein confirms plans for huge stock market float - and could pick London

Shein, the fast fashion behemoth, has confirmed its intentions to pursue an initial public offering (IPO), with London being a potential location for its listing. The company's chief executive, Donald Tang, spoke to The Times about the desire to go public as a means to bolster "accountability and transparency." While Shein had not previously set a firm date for its IPO, it is understood that the company engaged with the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) last summer, amidst complications surrounding a US listing, as reported by City AM. Tang declined to provide details on the timing or expected valuation of the IPO but stated that Shein would list "whenever it's appropriate." Founded in 2012 in China and now headquartered in Singapore, Shein has been under fire for its environmental footprint and labour conditions. However, Tang defended the company, asserting that Shein "democratises" fashion and adheres to local regulations while maintaining low inventory levels to minimise waste. Acknowledging the UK as one of its top markets, Tang praised British regulators for their impartial approach to regulation, distinct from political influence. Shein has also joined the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), alongside major players like Shell and AstraZeneca, to reinforce its commitment to the UK market. This news of a possible London IPO comes at a time when the UK capital is facing challenges in attracting significant listings, with several companies preferring the New York Stock Exchange over the London Stock Exchange, including names such as Flutter and Arm. A potential Shein initial public offering (IPO) could significantly bolster London's financial sector. The company, a leader in fast fashion, was valued at a remarkable $66bn (£51.05bn) in 2023 and has been navigating intensifying competition from rivals like Temu. Initially eyeing a New York IPO in 2024, Temu changed course to London after failing to secure the necessary approvals from US regulators. Despite whispers of a near 40 per cent plummet in 2024 net profit, company spokesperson Tang firmly dismissed such rumours, asserting that growth metrics have continued to be robust. Shein's trajectory might still be steered by shifts in US policy; for instance, former President Donald Trump's proposal to impose new limits on tariff-free imports from China could affect the firm's principal market.

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Historic department store Jolly's in Bath to reopen

A 200-year-old department store in Bath which announced its closure in December is reopening. Jolly's on Milsom Street has been a fixture in the city since 1823 and was run until recently by House of Fraser. The shop - one of the oldest of its kind in Europe - has now been acquired by Morleys Stores. The independent retailer was established in 1927 and owns and operates eight department stores across the UK. The company has pledged to restore Jolly's to its "former glory" and honour its "deep-rooted legacy", while revitalising the shopping experience in Bath. It has also promised to retain the Jolly's name. When the store reopens next year it will sell a selection of fashion, beauty and homeware products. It will also offer a full-service beauty experience and food and drink on site. Allan Winstanley, chief executive of Morleys Department Stores, said: “We are thrilled to be bringing Jolly's back to life and to be part of the vibrant retail landscape in Bath. "Our approach is to treat each of our stores as a unique independent department store, ensuring we create an exceptional shopping experience tailored to the local community." Bath & Northeast Somerset Council has been working to secure the future of the much-loved store. In December, the local authority said it was in advanced stages with a third-party occupier but did not reveal who it was. Councillor Kevin Guy, Bath & Northeast Somerset Council leader, said: “Morleys Stores will bring an exciting shopping experience to residents and visitors alike and I am delighted to welcome the business to our vibrant city. Milsom Street has always been a very special shopping destination and Morleys’ decision complements the investment the council is making in the Milsom Quarter.” Bath City Council and Morleys will immediately begin a major refurbishment of the historic building. The store will open in two phases with an initial launch in March 2026, followed by a full completion and grand opening in October next year. Jess Merritt-John, the former Jolly's store manager, has been retained and will oversee a dedicated heritage space within Jolly's throughout the refurbishment. The space will showcase the store’s history and plans for its future, as well as renovation updates. Councillor Mark Elliott, cabinet member for resources, added: “We set out the council’s commitment to the local economy in our ten-year Economic Strategy and this investment is a very positive recognition of the great retail offer our city has and the work the council has undertaken to support it.”

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Applied Nutrition seals USA and Holland & Barrett deals as its Coleen Rooney range expands across UK

Health and wellness brand Applied Nutrition has announced three new American deals – and an expanded partnership with Holland & Barrett that will see its new Colleen Rooney range go on sale in hundreds of UK stores. Knowsley-based Applied Nutrition has agreed a joint business plan with Holland & Barrett that will see the health and wellbeing retail chain increase the distribution of currently listed products and take a range of new ones. The Mersey firm said: “The first order under the new JBP was received this month and included the new Coleen Rooney range, which will be available in 500 stores” The deal will also see Holland & Barrett get early access to Applied Nutrition’s new products in development, allowing them to get products to their shelves more quickly. Applied Nutrition hopes the deal will treble its revenue from Holland & Barrett, already one of the group’s largest customers. In the USA, Applied Nutrition has secured deals with GNC Corporate, one of the largest specialty retailers in the US, Hy-vee, the largest regional grocery chain in the Midwest, and leading Texan grocery chain H-E-B. Applied Nutrition products will now go on sale in more than 1,000 new stores across the country, and the group says the deals “are expected to start contributing to revenue during H2 FY25 with an annualised spend of $3m”. Thomas Ryder, CEO of Applied Nutrition, said: “It is great to see such momentum with existing and new customers, further reinforcing the growth potential of the business. Not only are we significantly strengthening and growing our trade with existing key valued partners such as Holland & Barrett we are also securing new listings from major retailers in the US which is a key growth market. We look to the future with confidence and we remain focused on driving profitable growth throughout H2 and beyond.”

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